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Should I Still Buy Real Estate After All That Has Happened?

Rehoboth Beach Delaware is called the Metropolitan Washington D.C. such as
Nation's Summer Capital because we are Northern Virginia, Maryland and to a
such a common second home and lesser degree parts of Delaware and
entertainment location for the powerful Pennsylvania. The bedrooms for those who
and influential people of Washington D.C. run our national capital reach out a
There are few people making over $75,000 hundred miles from the center of town.
a year in the DC professions who do not CSW is not predicting the 20% annual real
frequent this area when they need estate property value increases of the
privacy, space, fresh ocean air and last few years but they are predicting a
relaxation. It's not just summer that 4.2 % annual increase for the DC related
draws them anymore, they come year area now instead of the 3.8 % increase
'round. And it's not just Rehoboth Beach they predicted before the horrors and
anymore, they populate Lewes, Dewey attacks of 9-11. They are predicting
Beach, Bethany Beach, Fenwick Island and downturns in values elsewhere and deeper
all the little towns near the Delaware downturns than before in all the other
Beaches. major markets.
During the past several years all real CSW acknowledges that tourism to DC will
estate, especially waterfront real estate be hurt some by the attacks. Personally
or beach real estate anywhere has been a I know that Crystal City has increased
phenomenal investment. Rehoboth area traffic of late by sightseers who have
increases have been as much as 30-40% per recently come to DC and want to view the
year in the ocean block for the last few destruction of part of the Pentagon.
years! Part of this surge was just a Additionally, room rentals are only
catch-up from nearly a decade of slightly hurt in the Washington D. C.
relatively flat appreciation rates. area as tourists normally in DC for the
While Washington D.C., along with fall events have been partially replaced
numerous other cities has seen price by consultants and visiting dignitaries.
increases in real estate of 15-30% per Along with the upgraded appreciation
year over the last few years. While the predictions for the DC area real estate
rest of the country has little if any market CSW has farther downgraded it's
appreciation in real estate values this prediction for appreciation rates in
year DC has remained hot, though not as Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Cleveland,
hot as last year. Most areas of our Denver, Detroit, Los Angeles, Miami,
country have had no appreciation in Minneapolis, Nashville, New York,
prices on average for this year - except Orlando, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Portland,
for small portions of some metropolitan San Diego, San Francisco, and Seattle.
areas. Here are my personal predictions, based
The entire economy has cooled way down. on over thirty years of selling property
Globally, real estate is not expected to here in the Delaware resort areas. I
do very well over the next few years. In also maintain an almost daily connection
addition to residential real estate being to the goings on of the DC real estate
hard hit -- retail, commercial and markets. Washington DC will experience
industrial real estate has been mostly an influx of highly paid professionals
languishing, unsold even at lower prices for the defense and research industries
and even with commercial mortgage rates as well as computer security, personal
of half what they were a few years ago. security and warfare related services.
This Delaware Resort area and Washington There will also be a terrific increase in
D.C. are predictably different from any and all Internet related firms that
anywhere else. DC is where people flock service the staff of our government and
when any national emergency or military government contractors who will fight the
expansion is underway. We are seeing new war. Much of this war will be fought
unprecedented buildups in military, with keyboard, mouse and joystick. These
government and private sectors as a new hi-tech workers and the ones already
result of our instant reaction to the involved will be under increased stress
attacks and the nearly immediate national and accepting increased pay over the next
decision to mount a world wide high-tech few years as we fight a high-tech war
war against the terrorists and their against terrorism. These same factors
allies. This Delaware Beach area is a and more will give increased reasons and
part time bedroom, escape, funds for more people to visit our beach
business-meeting and bar community for areas. As always some of these visitors
the Washingtonian influential and will decide to purchase here. The
powerful elite. Here they can get away visitors and new buyers bring others with
and plan in private for what must be them and more of these visits are
done! business related now.
The Wall Street Journal posted an Washington DC firms and companies that
interesting article "Where Housing is are financially related to these firms
Headed in Wake of Attacks" on 09/21/2001 will rapidly be adding highly paid staff
by June Fletcher and Danielle Reed and subcontractors. This will require a
regarding the future of real estate huge increase in every kind of service
-after the attacks. Before the attacks industry as well as all the hospitality
Real Estate sales were the major factor industry relatives. The more highly paid
keeping the rest of the economy from and more highly stressed war related
plummeting more terribly than it has. workers will predictably seek vacation
The attacks have badly shocked the world time, relaxation time and close by
real estate market. The residential, meeting sites in Rehoboth, Dewey,
commercial, industrial and even the Bethany, Fenwick and Lewes just as they
government acquisition of property in the always have. More and more of these
major cities has lagged or stopped almost highly paid folks will also need to visit
everywhere. No one knows how long this us more often, for longer periods, and
will last of course. increasingly throughout the year for
Since the New York, D. C. Pentagon, and myriad reasons. Many of them will move
Pennsylvania attacks on the World Trade here and begin to work here from phones,
Center, The Pentagon and the attempts on fax, laptops and home computers. We are
The White House; we have reason to review seeing it happen already. We, as a
many things. General real estate markets result, will need to have more and more
world wide have been drastically affected of our resort infrastructure and more of
since the war began -- and the war may our businesses open, year 'round. We
last a long time. Part if not most of will need to employ more and better
the instant real estate market change was trained people in every area here and
due to the banking industry which was one they too will need housing and services.
of the most severely affected of all US We are growing!
business. Many of the offices in New We will see an every increasing growth
York that were destroyed were central rate for those who telecommute from here
banking centers from around the world. at the beach - part or full time.
We are beginning to recover from the Already I see a large percentage of our
banking difficulties now. In fact our prospective customers and buyers that are
in-house mortgage broker Prosperity now or soon will be working from home.
Mortgage which uses Wells Fargo funding Those who spend long weekends here in the
is up and running full speed, no beach area with a laptop and cell phone
problems. We have the lowest residential to handle professional responsibilities
mortgage rates in 40 years right now. are an ever increasing group. Kate and I
But full technical recovery of the work from home most of the time. Our
banking industry will take a while. waterfront neighbor is a mortgage broker
The real estate market of Washington DC, and is often on her balcony with her
our feeder community, remains strongest laptop and phones doing business. Kate
in the nation. According to Case, often does a full day's work out at the
Shiller and Weiss known as CSW; and end of our pier. We are home workers and
claimed by the New York Times to be the every month more of our customers are as
leading residential real estate analysts well. Several of our recent purchasers
in the world; we are heading deeper into work at home full or part time.
a declining real estate market for this As a result of all these property
country and others, the exception being appreciating factors; I wonder if our
Washington D.C. CSW is predicting DC to Delaware Beach Area and Rehoboth Beach
appreciate and to increase in real estate will actually outstrip the
appreciation more than previously appreciation of DC real estate once
predicted. This prediction, of course, again.
includes the residential areas around




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