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Should I Still Buy Real Estate After All That Has Happened?

Rehoboth Beach Delaware is called thebedrooms for those who run our national
Nation's Summer Capital because we are such acapital reach out a hundred miles from the
common second home and entertainment locationcenter of town. CSW is not predicting the
for the powerful and influential people of20% annual real estate property value
Washington D.C. There are few people makingincreases of the last few years but they are
over $75,000 a year in the DC professions whopredicting a 4.2 % annual increase for the DC
do not frequent this area when they needrelated area now instead of the 3.8 %
privacy, space, fresh ocean air andincrease they predicted before the horrors
relaxation. It's not just summer that drawsand attacks of 9-11. They are predicting
them anymore, they come year 'round. Anddownturns in values elsewhere and deeper
it's not just Rehoboth Beach anymore, theydownturns than before in all the other major
populate Lewes, Dewey Beach, Bethany Beach,markets.CSW acknowledges that tourism to DC
Fenwick Island and all the little towns nearwill be hurt some by the attacks. Personally
the Delaware Beaches.During the past severalI know that Crystal City has increased
years all real estate, especially waterfronttraffic of late by sightseers who have
real estate or beach real estate anywhere hasrecently come to DC and want to view the
been a phenomenal investment. Rehoboth areadestruction of part of the Pentagon.
increases have been as much as 30-40% perAdditionally, room rentals are only slightly
year in the ocean block for the last fewhurt in the Washington D. C. area as tourists
years! Part of this surge was just anormally in DC for the fall events have been
catch-up from nearly a decade of relativelypartially replaced by consultants and
flat appreciation rates.While Washingtonvisiting dignitaries. Along with the
D.C., along with numerous other cities hasupgraded appreciation predictions for the DC
seen price increases in real estate of 15-30%area real estate market CSW has farther
per year over the last few years. While thedowngraded it's prediction for appreciation
rest of the country has little if anyrates in Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Cleveland,
appreciation in real estate values this yearDenver, Detroit, Los Angeles, Miami,
DC has remained hot, though not as hot asMinneapolis, Nashville, New York, Orlando,
last year. Most areas of our country havePhiladelphia, Phoenix, Portland, San Diego,
had no appreciation in prices on average forSan Francisco, and Seattle.Here are my
this year - except for small portions of somepersonal predictions, based on over thirty
metropolitan areas.The entire economy hasyears of selling property here in the
cooled way down. Globally, real estate isDelaware resort areas. I also maintain an
not expected to do very well over the nextalmost daily connection to the goings on of
few years. In addition to residential realthe DC real estate markets. Washington DC
estate being hard hit -- retail, commercialwill experience an influx of highly paid
and industrial real estate has been mostlyprofessionals for the defense and research
languishing, unsold even at lower prices andindustries as well as computer security,
even with commercial mortgage rates of halfpersonal security and warfare related
what they were a few years ago.This Delawareservices.There will also be a terrific
Resort area and Washington D.C. areincrease in any and all Internet related
predictably different from anywhere else. DCfirms that service the staff of our
is where people flock when any nationalgovernment and government contractors who
emergency or military expansion is underway.will fight the new war. Much of this war
We are seeing unprecedented buildups inwill be fought with keyboard, mouse and
military, government and private sectors as ajoystick. These new hi-tech workers and the
result of our instant reaction to the attacksones already involved will be under increased
and the nearly immediate national decision tostress and accepting increased pay over the
mount a world wide high-tech war against thenext few years as we fight a high-tech war
terrorists and their allies. This Delawareagainst terrorism. These same factors and
Beach area is a part time bedroom, escape,more will give increased reasons and funds
business-meeting and bar community for thefor more people to visit our beach areas. As
Washingtonian influential and powerful elite.always some of these visitors will decide to
Here they can get away and plan in privatepurchase here. The visitors and new buyers
for what must be done!The Wall Street Journalbring others with them and more of these
posted an interesting article "Where Housingvisits are business related now.Washington DC
is Headed in Wake of Attacks" on 09/21/2001firms and companies that are financially
by June Fletcher and Danielle Reed regardingrelated to these firms will rapidly be adding
the future of real estate -after the attacks.highly paid staff and subcontractors. This
Before the attacks Real Estate sales werewill require a huge increase in every kind of
the major factor keeping the rest of theservice industry as well as all the
economy from plummeting more terribly than ithospitality industry relatives. The more
has. The attacks have badly shocked thehighly paid and more highly stressed war
world real estate market. The residential,related workers will predictably seek
commercial, industrial and even thevacation time, relaxation time and close by
government acquisition of property in themeeting sites in Rehoboth, Dewey, Bethany,
major cities has lagged or stopped almostFenwick and Lewes just as they always have.
everywhere. No one knows how long this willMore and more of these highly paid folks will
last of course.Since the New York, D. C.also need to visit us more often, for longer
Pentagon, and Pennsylvania attacks on theperiods, and increasingly throughout the year
World Trade Center, The Pentagon and thefor myriad reasons. Many of them will move
attempts on The White House; we have reasonhere and begin to work here from phones, fax,
to review many things. General real estatelaptops and home computers. We are seeing it
markets world wide have been drasticallyhappen already. We, as a result, will need
affected since the war began -- and the warto have more and more of our resort
may last a long time. Part if not most ofinfrastructure and more of our businesses
the instant real estate market change was dueopen, year 'round. We will need to employ
to the banking industry which was one of themore and better trained people in every area
most severely affected of all US business.here and they too will need housing and
Many of the offices in New York that wereservices. We are growing!We will see an
destroyed were central banking centers fromevery increasing growth rate for those who
around the world. We are beginning totelecommute from here at the beach - part or
recover from the banking difficulties now.full time. Already I see a large percentage
In fact our in-house mortgage brokerof our prospective customers and buyers that
Prosperity Mortgage which uses Wells Fargoare now or soon will be working from home.
funding is up and running full speed, noThose who spend long weekends here in the
problems. We have the lowest residentialbeach area with a laptop and cell phone to
mortgage rates in 40 years right now. Buthandle professional responsibilities are an
full technical recovery of the bankingever increasing group. Kate and I work from
industry will take a while.The real estatehome most of the time. Our waterfront
market of Washington DC, our feederneighbor is a mortgage broker and is often on
community, remains strongest in the nation.her balcony with her laptop and phones doing
According to Case, Shiller and Weiss known asbusiness. Kate often does a full day's work
CSW; and claimed by the New York Times to beout at the end of our pier. We are home
the leading residential real estate analystsworkers and every month more of our customers
in the world; we are heading deeper into aare as well. Several of our recent
declining real estate market for this countrypurchasers work at home full or part time.As
and others, the exception being Washingtona result of all these property appreciating
D.C. CSW is predicting DC to appreciate andfactors; I wonder if our Delaware Beach Area
to increase in appreciation more thanand Rehoboth Beach real estate will actually
previously predicted. This prediction, ofoutstrip the appreciation of DC real estate
course, includes the residential areas aroundonce again.By Copyright September 22,
Metropolitan Washington D.C. such as Northern2001Jody Hudson is a Realtor with 35 years
Virginia, Maryland and to a lesser degreeexperience in American and Delaware Real
parts of Delaware and Pennsylvania. TheEstate.



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